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Correlation Vs Causation: Common Mistakes

Learn why ice cream sales and drowning deaths correlate, but ice cream doesn't cause drowning

Part of Data-Driven Decisions

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Last updated Oct 29, 2025. Clone to remix or explore the blocks below.
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The Ice Cream Murder Mystery

Educational content slides

The Ice Cream Murder Mystery

Observed pattern:

As ice cream sales increase → drowning deaths increase

As ice cream sales decrease → drowning deaths decrease

Perfect correlation!

Conclusion 1 (wrong): Ice cream causes drowning! Ban ice cream!

Conclusion 2 (wrong): Drowning makes people buy ice cream!

Reality: Summer weather causes BOTH. Hot weather = more swimming (drownings) AND more ice cream sales.

This hidden factor is called a confounding variable.

This is why correlation ≠ causation.

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Quiz: 3 Questions

Test your understanding with this quiz.

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Study shows students who play video games have higher test scores on average. What's the most likely explanation?

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feedback

Spot False Causation Claims

Complete this exercise and get AI-powered feedback.

Spot False Causation Claims

Correlation-causation confusion is everywhere once you know to look for it.

Think about: Advice people give, headlines you see, patterns you notice. What's actually correlation masquerading as causation?

This reveals: How to think critically about cause-and-effect claims and design experiments to test them.