Imagine you're a policy maker aiming to reduce your city's water consumption. You launch an initiative encouraging citizens to switch to low-flow showerheads to save water. A year later, you find that the overall water usage has not significantly dropped despite the changes you implemented. Baffling, isn't it? This could be an illustration of an economic phenomenon known as the Jevons Paradox.
Named after the British economist William Stanley Jevons, the Jevons Paradox states that technological advancement that increases the efficiency in using a resource may lead to an overall increase in the consumption of that resource, instead of reducing it as might be intuitively expected.
Jevons observed this in the coal industry during the industrial revolution. As more efficient steam engines were used, the coal consumption instead of decreasing with efficiency, increased. This happened because efficiency led to cost reduction, which subsequently increased demand resulting in greater overall use.
Direct Rebound Effect: Increased efficiency in a resource's usage often leads to increased use of that resource because it becomes more affordable. Using your car more frequently after installing a fuel-efficient engine is an example.
Indirect Rebound Effect: The money saved from increased efficiency of one resource is diverted to use other resources, thereby increasing your total resource consumption. For instance, the money saved from lowering heating bills due to better insulation may be spent on air travel, which has a significant carbon footprint.
It’s important to remember that occurrence of Jevons Paradox is not guaranteed. The outcomes depend on a mix of factors like economic elasticity, availability of resources, behavioral habits, and others.
While the Jevons Paradox suggests that efficiency improvements alone may not lead to significant resource savings, it does not imply efforts towards increasing efficiency are in vain.
As a policy maker seeking to reduce water consumption in your city, it's important to consider the potential effects of the Jevons Paradox. Instead of simply promoting water-efficient devices, combine that initiative with campaigns to change consumption habits, educational programs, and usage-based pricing to achieve your goal of resource conservation.
A city implements a water conservation program that results in residents using less water per person. However, the total water usage increases due to a surge in the population comfortably supported by the city. This scenario demonstrates:
The inherent failure of conservation programs.
The possibility of increased total demand despite improved efficiency.