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Statistical Significance: When To Trust Results

Learn the basics of p-values and confidence intervals to make better data-driven decisions

Part of Data-Driven Decisions

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Last updated Oct 29, 2025. Clone to remix or explore the blocks below.
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content

The Birthday Paradox: Your Intuition Is Wrong

Educational content slides

The Birthday Paradox: Your Intuition Is Wrong

Question: How many people needed in a room for 50% chance two people share a birthday?

Your intuition probably says: 183 people (half of 365 days)

Actual answer: Only 23 people!

With 50 people: 97% chance of shared birthday

Why this matters: Our brains are terrible at probability and randomness. We need mathematical tools (statistical significance) to know when patterns are real vs random noise.

This is why you can't trust your gut about whether test results are meaningful.

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quiz

Quiz: 3 Questions

Test your understanding with this quiz.

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A/B test with 1 million users shows new design increases clicks by 0.4%, p-value = 0.01. What can you conclude?

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feedback

Question Statistical Claims

Complete this exercise and get AI-powered feedback.

Question Statistical Claims

Headlines love to claim studies 'prove' things. Now you know what questions to ask.

Think about: Sample size, p-values, confidence intervals, multiple testing, effect size, confounding variables.

This reveals: How to be a skeptical consumer of research claims and avoid being misled by bad statistics.