Game Theory in Airline Pricing Strategy

Picture yourself as the pricing strategy manager at an emerging airline company. You're constantly under immense pressure to develop pricing models that not only maximize revenue but also stay competitive against rivals. You're finding it increasingly confounding to understand and anticipate the pricing actions of your competitors and their potential impact. It's at this point you decide to leverage the concept of Game Theory in your pricing strategy.

What is Game Theory?

Game Theory is an economic model used to predict outcomes and make strategic decisions in situations where the result depends not only on your actions but also on those of others. It’s especially useful in competitive scenarios whereby the decision-makers or players have conflicting interests. It's divided into two types: cooperative games, where binding agreements can be made, and non-cooperative games, where binding agreements aren't possible.

Why use Game Theory in Airline Pricing?

The airline pricing fits within the structure of a non-cooperative game, where each player (airline) sets prices independently, aiming to maximize its revenue. The pricing of one airline can significantly influence the market share, demand, and ultimately, the profits of others.

Applying Game Theory in Pricing Strategy:

Stage 1: Define the players

The primary players are your airline and your significant competitors.

Stage 2: Outline the strategies

These refer to the pricing strategies each player can adopt. They could include cost-plus pricing, value-based pricing, or competitive pricing.

Stage 3: Determine the payoffs

In the airline industry, the payoff from a given pricing strategy generally refers to the revenue or profit obtained.

Stage 4: Analyze the game

Use the Game Theory matrix that displays possible outcomes based on various decisions made by the players. Analysis can uncover dominant strategies (a strategy that always provides a better outcome, no matter what the other player chooses) or a Nash Equilibrium (a state where no player has an incentive to deviate from their current strategy, assuming other players also stick to their strategies).

For instance, the model may show that if an airline chooses to lower its prices, competitors will likely follow suit, leading to a potential price war that hurts all players. On the other hand, the model may also find a Nash Equilibrium where all airlines are better off keeping their current pricing, with the understanding that a deviation by anyone would lead to a worse outcome.

Conclusion

By using Game Theory, you can make more informed and strategic pricing decisions by considering the potential reactions of your competitors. It will help you avoid unnecessary price wars, maximize your revenue, and maintain a competitive edge in the turbulent airline industry.

Test Your Understanding

In a competitive airline market, one airline decides to lower their prices significantly. A neighboring airline:

Question 1 of 2